How to Make a Prediction on Everything

Before You Start

Prediction markets on Everything let you take a position on whether a specific event will happen — a crypto regulatory ruling, a match result, a macroeconomic data release, or a product launch. Each market has a YES side and a NO side. You pick your position, set your size, and wait for the outcome.

This guide walks you through every step — from opening the app to collecting your payout.

Step 1: Open Everything and Go to Predictions

Log in to Everything via Telegram or the web app at everything.co. In the bottom menu, tap the Trade icon. At the top of the screen, toggle from "Trade" to "Predict".

You'll see a live list of open markets, sorted by category. Markets are labeled with:

• The question (e.g. "Will BTC close above $100,000 on June 30?")

• The current YES probability (e.g. 62%)

• The resolution date

• The total volume in the market

Step 2: Browse and Select a Market

Use the category filters to find markets that match your expertise:

• Crypto — BTC price levels, ETF decisions, protocol events

• Macro — Fed rate moves, CPI outcomes, GDP prints

• Sports — match results, tournament winners

• Politics — election outcomes, policy decisions

• Everything — platform-specific milestones and launches

Tap on any market to see the full detail page, including the resolution criteria, the price history chart, and the order book.

Pro tip: Always read the resolution criteria carefully. They define exactly what counts as YES or NO — and the details matter.

Step 3: Choose Your Side

Once you've selected a market, tap YES or NO depending on your view.

• Tap YES if you believe the event will happen

• Tap NO if you believe it won't

The current price of each side reflects market probability. A YES price of $0.65 means the market gives the event a 65% chance of happening. A NO contract costs $0.35 — the complement.

If you think the market is mispriced, that's your edge. If the market says 65% but you believe it's 80%, buying YES at $0.65 is a positive expected value trade.

Step 4: Set Your Position Size

Enter how much you want to stake. The interface will show you:

• Your cost (how much you're spending now)

• Your potential payout (what you win if correct)

• Your implied return (the % gain on a correct call)

• Your max loss (your stake — you can only lose what you put in)

Unlike leveraged trading, prediction market positions are fully collateralised. You cannot lose more than your stake. There are no liquidations.

Size your position based on your conviction. High confidence in a mispriced market? Size up. Exploratory position in an uncertain market? Keep it small.

Step 5: Review and Confirm

Before confirming, double-check:

• The market question — make sure you're trading the event you intended

• Your side — YES or NO

• Your stake — the amount you're committing

• The resolution date — when the market closes and settles

Tap Confirm to submit your position. Your funds are locked until resolution or until you choose to exit early in the secondary market.

Step 6: Monitor Your Position

Go to My Positions to track your open prediction markets. You'll see:

• Current market price vs your entry price

• Unrealised P&L

• Time remaining to resolution

• Option to exit early at the current market price

Markets move in real-time as new information hits. If the probability shifts in your favour before resolution, your position gains value. You can exit early to lock in profit — you don't have to wait for the final outcome.

Step 7: Resolution and Payout

When the resolution date arrives, Everything settles the market based on the official outcome according to the stated criteria.

• If your side is correct: you receive $1.00 per contract

• If your side is wrong: your stake is lost

Payouts are credited to your Everything wallet automatically. No action required on your part.

If a market is cancelled or unresolvable (rare), all positions are refunded in full.

Tips for Better Prediction Trading

• Follow the resolution criteria, not the headline. Markets resolve on very specific terms. A "Fed rate cut" market might require a specific basis point move — read the fine print.

• Watch price movements around news. If a market suddenly moves 10-15 percentage points, new information has likely hit. React quickly or wait for the dust to settle.

• Use small sizes to test new markets. Before sizing up in a category you're unfamiliar with, take small positions to understand how prices behave.

• Early exit is a tool, not a failure. If a market moves strongly in your favour before resolution, locking in profit at 80-90 cents on the dollar is often smarter than waiting for $1.

• Diversify across markets. Spreading across multiple markets reduces the impact of any single wrong call.

FAQ

How much do I need to start?

There's no minimum — you can take a position with as little as a few dollars. Start small to get comfortable with how markets behave before scaling up.

Can I exit a position before the resolution date?

Yes. All prediction markets on Everything have a secondary market where you can buy or sell your position at any time before resolution. The exit price reflects current market probability.

What happens if a market resolves ambiguously?

Resolution criteria are set in advance and designed to be unambiguous. In rare cases of genuine ambiguity, Everything may cancel the market and refund all positions.

Is KYC required to trade prediction markets?

No. Everything requires no KYC. Connect your wallet or Telegram account and start trading immediately.

Are prediction markets available 24/7?

Yes. Unlike traditional betting platforms with limited hours, Everything's prediction markets are available around the clock. You can enter and exit positions at any time before the resolution date.